OUR VIEW: As of Friday, Republicans are winning, with a significant turnout edge. The billion dollar question now is will the rest of Republican El Paso County turn out, or will the big dollar Obama-machine succeed in turning out enough liberals in the election’s closing hours to save John Morse’s hide?
Liberal groups from Planned Parenthood and NARAL to the Douglas County union fighting school reform to Howard Dean’s Democracy for America have all set up shop in Morse’s Senate District 11, running field operations and bankrolling TV ads.
Even the Washington, DC-based Democratic Legislative Campaign Committee (DLCC) has been soliciting its email list in Oregon to mine for donations.
Morse’s group has taken so many out-of-state workers in recent weeks that they’ve been requesting housing help since the beginning of the month.
In short, the same liberal political machine that elected Barack Obama is out in force trying to beg, borrow and steal their way to a John Morse victory. These liberal groups have outspent pro-recall groups by nearly 7-1 already.
But here is the interesting part — Republicans have been methodically working hard to turn out their own side, with Lynn Bartels of The Denver Post reporting that in Morse’s district, where Obama won by 21 points, Republicans have out-voted Democrats by 9% as of Friday.
In other words, in spite of being out spent overwhelmingly, conservatives are actually winning in El Paso County at this stage in early voting.
The billion dollar question now is, will the rest of Republican El Paso County turn out, or will the big dollar Obama-machine succeed in turning out enough liberals in the election’s closing hours to save John Morse’s hide?
It’s David vs. Goliath, the Obama-machine vs. a rag tag army of recallers. When polls close tomorrow night, we will know if David wins, or if the liberal money machine succeeds in buying another Colorado election.
UPDATE: Turnout remains strong. Updated figures, as we requested, from the El Paso County Clerk and Recorder’s office.
— EPC Clerk & Recorder (@ClerkEPC) September 9, 2013
Percentage-wise, that’s 41% Republican / 32.5% Democrat / 26.5% Unaffiliated/Other.
The district’s voter registration is: 26% Republican / 33.5% Democrat / 40.5% Other
UPDATE 2 (4:30PM): New turnout figures as of 4:30PM this afternoon from the El Paso County Clerk and Recorder:
Total Voters: 12,174
Dem: 4,023 (33%)
Rep: 4,923 (40%)
UAF: 3,052 (25%)
UPDATE 3 (6:50PM): Via KDVR’s Eli Stokols, Democrats have closed the gap a bit today. Still GOP 40% to Dem 33%.
— Eli Stokols (@EliStokols) September 10, 2013