For all the liberals who were all too eager to claim victory following the debate between Rep. Mike Coffman and his challenger Andrew Romanoff, let these two new rankings silence them. Following The Denver Post debate in which Romanoff back-tracked on his support for a single-payer health care system, two race prognosticators have moved the race from “Toss Up” to “Leans/Tilts Republican”.
The first, the Rothenberg Report shifted the race from “Pure Toss Up” to “Toss Up/Tilts Republican”. The second, a prediction from Politico called Sabato’s Crystal Ball, says this about the Coffman vs. Romanoff race:
“Two Toss-ups, Rep. Mike Coffman (R, Colo.-6) and Rep. Bill Owens’ (D, N.Y.-21) open seat, move to the Leans Republican column: They remain close but in a Republican-leaning year the GOP has a leg up.”
This reminds us something that local political commenter Eric Sondermann predicted in July 2013:
“I suspect the district will largely follow the national trend line. If Romanoff either has a neutral breeze or a slight breeze at his back, he can win that seat. My question is: Can he win that seat if there’s a head wind? And I’m not sure that he can.”
Not only does it appear that Romanoff does not have a natural breeze or slight breeze at his back, but it would appear that Coffman is the one with the momentum. Things are looking worse for Romanoff.
