The billion dollar tax hike campaign doesn’t seem to have any trouble dialing for dollars, but it does seem to be running into some resistance with actual voters.
A new Colorado poll by Magellan Strategies on Amendment 66 shows the billion dollar ballot initiative losing significantly, 52-38, when voters are given the details of the proposal. It tracks along the line of results found by Magellan in late April, when a statewide poll found voters opposed to a two-tiered tax hike 56-35.
Amendment 66 would raise taxes for income under $75,000 by 8% and by 27% on income over $75,000.
Both Magellan polls purposely had samples that skewed more Democratic than normal odd-numbered year election turnout in an effort to counteract previous issues with overly optimistic Republican polls.
The new Magellan poll assumed a 5-point Republican turnout advantage in 2013, despite the fact that Republicans had turnout advantages of 7.8% and 8.5% in 2011 and 2009, respectively. (If only they could replicate that in Presidential years)
In 2011, the $500 million dollar tax increase Prop 103 lost decisively, 63-37.