TIGHT RACE: Two New Colorado Polls Show Presidential Race Virtually Tied

Published on November 1, 2012 by

Two new polls on Colorado today have the race within the margin of error, with one showing Romney leading by three and the other with Obama up by two.

A Rasmussen poll, where only the top-line horse race figure has been released so far, has Romney winning Colorado 50%-47%. The survey was conducted entirely on Monday night.

On the flip side is a CNN poll released this afternoon showing Obama taking Colorado 50%-48%, though Obama’s lead drops to one point — 48%-47% – when they include Gary Johnson, who is on the ballot in Colorado. The CNN poll was conducted October 26-31 with a margin of error of +/-3.5%.

Current turnout based on ballots returned by today shows Republicans with a steady three-point lead over Democrats, based on the party registration of those voters.

To quote Dan Rather from 2004: “This race is hotter than a Times Square Rolex.”

UPDATE: The CNN sample appears to be badly out of whack with reality.

CNN Sample: 31R | 33D | 35U

Turnout so far in Colorado: 37.8R | 35D | 26.2U

 

VISUALIZED: 6 Charts Comparing 2012 Primary Turnout To 2004-2010

Published on June 27, 2012 by

Turnout in this year's primary has been pretty low, which was expected for an election with no marquee statewide races that is being held on the third Tuesday in November. Compared to 2010's historically high turnout, 2012 is lackluster, though not as low as you might expect when compared to previous years.

Below are six charts that compare turnout from 2004-2012:


There are a few things worth noting:

  • The primary was moved from August to June 26 this year.
  • 2012 is the first time in over a decade there is no US Senate or Gubernatorial primary.
  • Congressional Districts in 2012 are new after redistricting, making the percent of turnout a better figure for comparison.

Statewide Turnout (Raw Vote Total Of Voters Affiliated With A Political Party)

Statewide Turnout (Percent of Registered Voters Affiliated With A Political Party)

 

CD2 Turnout (Raw Republican Vote Totals)

CD2 Turnout (Percent of Registered Republicans)

 

CD5 Turnout (Raw Republican Vote Totals)

CD5 Turnout (Percent of Registered Republicans)

 

BREAKING: Over 45,000 Republicans Have Pre-Registered For Their Precinct Caucus

Published on February 8, 2012 by

UPDATE: Results are starting to roll in. Check them out here

State GOP Chairman Ryan Call has predicted a strong turnout for Republicans in the Colorado precinct caucuses, perhaps even surpassing 2008's turnout of 70,000. Based on pre-registration numbers obtained by Colorado Peak Politics, that forecast is looking increasingly likely.

As of 2 pm today, 45,170 Republican voters have pre-registered to attend tonight's caucuses.

Additionally, 21,175 Republican voters have checked their caucus location, which may have changed due to redistricting, on the state GOP's caucus locator website.

To find out your caucus location tonight, click here.

You can see live results as they come in here.

Results are expected to start coming in around 7:30 pm.

With Colorado Republicans amped up to defeat Obama in 2012, the energy and excitement is firmly on the conservative side of the political divide. 

A strong turnout tonight will be a boon to the eventual nominee and to Chairman Call himself, as tonight is his first big test atop the state party.

The Nevada and Iowa Republican parties made utter fools of themselves on the national stage, with the Iowa GOP reversing the winner two weeks after the fact and the Nevada GOP taking days to count the results. 

We hope to see the Colorado GOP reverse that embarrassing trend.

The state GOP is already whooping the Democrats in financial management, with the GOP holding $159,422 in cash on hand to the Democrats' measly $24,887.

Let's hope the state party can bring their organizational chops to bear on vote counting to the same degree they have on fundraising. 


 
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