Trump-planeThere has been a lot of agitation from the Trump Camp about the caucus process in Colorado – and, maybe, now we know why. A Magellan poll released today shows that in a head to head match up, Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump would beat his opponent Ted Cruz in Colorado.

Here are the numbers when voting on the current ballot:

  • 44 – Trump
  • 34 – Cruz
  • 17 – Kasich
  • 5 – undecided

If voters were asked to choose between Cruz and Trump, the result is little changed:

  • 48 – Trump
  • 42 – Cruz

According to the poll, Trump’s top spot is due to his strong stance on immigration and national security. From the poll summary:

“Simply put, support for Donald Trump is being driven by his dominance among the 22% of voters that believe stopping illegal immigration is the the top issue. Among those voters, 59% support Donald Trump and only 26% support Ted Cruz.  Additionally, of the 20% of respondents that chose “National Security Issues” as the top issue, 40% support Donald Trump and 27% support Ted Cruz. To summarize, on each of the top two issues, Donald Trump holds a double-digit lead over Ted Cruz, including a substantial 23-point lead on the issue of stopping illegal immigration.”

This survey was done on April 5th and 6th of this year of 609 likely Republican primary voters in Colorado.  The survey was not paid for by any candidate, campaign, committee, independent expenditure committee or individual, according to Magellan.

There are a few ways to look at this:

  1. The Trump campaign is justifiably frustrated by the caucus process.
  2. The Trump campaign had the advantage going into the caucus process and didn’t seize it.
  3. The Trump campaign may have had the lead on April 5th and 6th, but the uproar on April 9th through now has probably cost the campaign significant support.

Either way, Donald Trump isn’t going anywhere anytime soon.