Why has seemingly every Democratic activist and surrogate piled on Rep. Cory Gardner using every stereotypical “Republicans are the devil” attack imaginable as of late? They know their boy Udall is on the ropes.
In a poll put out by Rasmussen Reports on Monday, liberal U.S. Sen. Udall leads Gardner 42% to 41%. In any campaign, you start to hit the “oh-crap” button when your incumbent candidate drops below 46 or 47%. At 42% you might as well start packing your bags. This is because your candidate is already a known quantity, they have spent their last term out in front of the people, and if the people don’t know you or don’t like you by now, they sure as hell aren’t coming around to you on Election Day. This is especially true of Udall, who has been in the public eye for decades.
What must be even more disheartening for Udall’s campaign are the numbers behind the numbers. Despite having no primary, Udall can only manage the same amount of in-party votes as Gardner does (e.g., 80% of Republicans support Gardner and 80% of Democrats support Udall). Expect Gardner’s numbers to rise even slightly higher after the primary has concluded. This is also reflected in the fact that Gardner, despite just announcing last week, and not having as high of name ID as Udall is already pulling more Dems than Udall is pulling Rs (9% to 7%, respectively). In a race this close, every R to D or D to R vote will count like two.
Furthermore, unaffiliated voters are breaking for Gardner 40% to 34%. Self-identifying moderates and people unsure of their ideological preference also prefer Gardner more (39% to 37%, 85% to 15%, respectively).
Adding context, two numbers make Gardner’s performance even stronger. Gardner is topping Udall even though almost 19% of voters have never heard of Gardner, which is 15 points higher than Udall. Gardner’s favorability among those who know him show that the more people get to know him, the more his overall approval numbers will rise.
On the other hand, despite polls saying how toxic President Obama is right now (Udall won’t even campaign with him), Rasmussen has Obama’s approval/somewhat approve numbers at 49%, while his disapprove/somewhat disapprove at 50%. Other polls have had Obama drastically worse in Colorado, and with no recent news to bump up O’s poll numbers, it wouldn’t be hard to conjecture that this sample of people are noticeably more Democratic than the electorate will be in November. Translation: those seemingly close numbers Udall started with up top suddenly turn into a Gardner landslide that could bury Udall in November.
Shari Sorensen Bjorklund, As you probably know by now, the dirty DEMONcRATs operatives are hard at work at disenfranchising potential Gardner voters, by creating divisions by disinformation, distortion and lies, and other despicable tactics that could lessen the possibility of beating Udall. Don't let yourself fall into this trap and waste your vote, which will obviously end up re-electing this Obama drone.
Whether John Boehner likes it or not, THE TEAPARTY will be the Deciding factor in the 2014-2016 Elections! The decision to be made is relatively simple, Are You WITH US, Or AGAINST US? BOEHNER and CANTOR Already have Two Strikes Against them, So Make Your Decision Wisely!!! THE AMERICAN TEAPARTY Of WE THE PEOPLE!!!GOD BLESS AMERICA!!!
Anyone who likes President Obama's policies and wants to give Senator Reid a reliable vote should support and vote for Mark Udall! All others should work hard to find an alternative candidate!
Mark is from Utah, he could give a sh_t about CO. I've to get his office to help me for 3 months with a Boulder flood claim. No response. I guess I need convert to Mormonism or contribute to his re-election to get some assistance.
I had seen information that Gardner is bad – thanks for the confirmation
Go get em, Shari Sorensen Bjorklund!
You're right Sharon, Hill had that one bad vote , Gardner has made more bad votes than Hill.
Hill seems like a decent guy, but he lost my support when I learned that he wants to give free tuition to illegals. That just doesn't work for me. Some people may not have heard of Gardner, but they HAVVE heard of Udall and the damage he's done to our wonderful state. Please support Gardner so Udall, along with Gov HickenLOSER can be removed from damaging CO any further!
I want Udall gone too, but the truth is, Cory Gardner does no worse nor better against Udall than any of the other candidates in previous polls, including Amy Stevens. This particular "poll" was done to help push the establishment narrative that Gardner is inevitable. I'm supporting Owen Hill. He has a better record, a superior education and experience serving our country.
I won't share this with the Udall for Colorado group because it may light a fire under them. I want them to think that their boy is just going to do fine, then be surprised.
That landslide thing can't come too soon!!! This guy is Reid's lap dog!!