THIRD PARTY EFFECT: What Does It All Mean?

News broke today that a wealthy independent candidate has thrown his hat into the ring for U.S. Senate, and it no doubt has both sides wondering: What does this mean for me?

The answer to that can be tricky to calculate.  It largely depends on which candidate this independent resembles more – the Democrat or the Republican.  Just as Green Party candidates tend to take votes away from Democrats because of their overlapping policy positions, a liberal-leaning independent candidate could do the same.

Here’s what we know about this new guy so far: Dr. Steve Shogan is 63-years old and a former Democrat.  He is chief of neurosurgery at Rose Medical Center and an assistant clinical professor at the University of Colorado Health Sciences Center.

Shogan actually seems like he’s saying enough of the right things to have both camps a little nervous.  He’s critical of Obamacare and advocates for its repeal, which could siphon votes from Republican Cory Gardner.  However – and this is a big however – Shogan is advocating that Obamacare be replaced with a single payer system, which is going to have lefties swooning and moving away from Democrat Mark Udall.

There is genuine dissatisfaction with both parties that Shogan can also tap into, but at the end of the day, his candidacy is going to inevitably hurt the guy he’d probably like to see win – especially in a race this close.

Democrats tend to be better than Republicans at squashing outsiders who threaten to derail their people. Dem Party Chairman Rick Palacio is probably already on his way over to Rose Medical Center to meet with the good doctor.  Our prediction: the Democrat establishment will have Shogan out of this race within the month and locked in his endorsement for Udall.

 

 

INDOMITABLE SPIRIT: Coffman Demonstrates Why He’s Impossible to Beat

If nothing else describes Rep. Mike Coffman, dogged determination certainly does.  On Tuesday,  Coffman held a sub-committee meeting at the State Capitol where he took to task a lack of leadership at Veterans Affairs leading to cost overrun and delays in major construction projects needed by veterans.  As The Denver Post reports:

Construction delays, cost overruns and litigation over the veterans hospital under construction in Aurora are evidence of systemic incompetence, members of a House subcommittee on Veterans Affairs in Denver said Tuesday.

U.S. Rep. Mike Coffman, R-Aurora, introduced legislation in February to speed up the construction process and to require a project manager from the Army Corps of Engineers.

Coffman said Tuesday that lack of leadership and competence in large construction projects at the VA has caused a year’s delay, cost overruns of more than $470 million — bringing the project’s cost to more than $1 billion — and triggered lawsuits for failure to pay contractors.

“You’ve got problems at every project,” Coffman said to the VA’s head of construction, Glenn Haggstrom.

As election season comes up, Coffman’s track record of being one of the leading advocates for veterans in Congress (not to mention, his own experience in the combat military experience) certainly will have them lining up behind up him.  Yet, the almost rabid determination Coffman uses to ensure veterans are treated with the respect and dignity they have earned, as well as receiving the benefits every American owes them will make a strong impression with all of Coffman’s constituents.  If they have a problem, he will fix it.  If their voice isn’t being heard in Congress, he’ll shout for them.  Coffman has already demonstrated in his extensive outreach to the new parts of his congressional district that he feels responsible in representing each and every one of them.  He takes his constituents issues personally.

That is why Andrew Romanoff really has no shot in this race.  It’s not that he carpet-bagged into the district.  It’s not that he shares more views with Nancy Pelosi than the average Coloradan.  It’s not that he’s a career politician.  The reason Romanoff can’t compete against Coffman is because Coffman has an iron will to get things done and a need to be the type of representative that Coffman believes each of his constituents deserve.  When those two qualities are combined, an honest opponent would bow out and admit there is no way he could be a better representative the people of CD-6.

But then that would mean Romanoff would have to get a real job, so he’ll at least hang around until November.

 

SHORT MEMORIES: AFP Mistake Honest, Perlmutter Caught Brazenly Politicizing Aurora Theater Shooting

Yesterday was a bad day for Americans for Prosperity.  The group released a tough ad against liberal U.S. Senator Mark Udall and were rightfully slammed for unintentionally using a photo from the Aurora Theater shooting press conference.  AFP apologized, as they should have.  The media recounted the times that using an inappropriate photo has happened to others.  Conspicuously absent from the criticism is the unabashed politicizing of the Aurora Theater shooting by Congressman Ed Perlmutter during an online townhall.

We agree that AFP shouldn’t have used that photo, but it was an honest mistake.  Perlmutter intentionally used the horrific events in 2012 in an attempt to bolster support for Obamacare.  That’s despicable.  Here’s the video:

The transcript from the Revealing Politics video:

The Affordable Care Act is in place.  The Supreme Court approved its terms…a couple, three weeks ago.  And, it will do some things that, in my opinion, needed to be done.  It will stop the discrimination against people with prior illnesses or injuries.  Or say, some of the folks who were shot in the theater.  They would be uninsurable now that they’ve had that wound.  But, under the Affordable Care Act, they can’t be discriminated against starting in 2014. [the Peak emphasis]

Perlmutter later apologized, as he also should have, but let’s be crystal clear here – the left has absolutely no moral high ground here.  At least AFP’s mistake was honest – Perlmutter’s use was just an ugly attempt to leverage this horrific event to increase support for controversial public policy.

 

TURN THEE UDALL, LOOK UPON THY (POLITICAL) DEATH: Udall’s Poll Numbers Bad Enough to Be Shakespearian Tragedy

Sen. Udall looks somber here. Think he’s reading the Quinnipiac poll results?

Do you hear crickets chirping?  That’s the Left trying to ignore the Quinnipiac poll that just came out today for the Colorado Senate race.  Then again, if our incumbent senate candidate only had a one point lead, while being on the wrong side of the top two concerns of voters heading into November, we’d want to bury our head in the sand as well.

Liberal U.S. Senator Mark Udall has a razor-thin one point lead, 45-44, but when it comes to those who are most concerned with either the economy or healthcare, the two most important issues for voters going into November, he is losing 53-40 and 57-36, respectively.

Meanwhile, the issue Udall thought was so important that he made it the topic of his first ad, the old, tired-out Democrat wedge-issue they pull out when they can’t run on their own record, abortion and “women’s issues”, only receive 2% and 1% as the most important issue; and that doesn’t even differentiate between pro-lifers and pro-choicers.  Yep, looks like Udall is really in touch with what is most important with Coloradans.   Of course, having chosen billionaire dollars over Colorado jobs, and effectively voted away 335,000 Coloradans’ health care plans, we understand why he desperately wants to change the subject.

Add to this already bad news that Coloradans disapprove of President Obama by 59%– a man Udall voted with 99% of the time—and disapprove of Obamacare by 59%—a bill that would not have passed without Udall’s support—and we are looking at a man who is unelectable.  In fact over 46% of Coloradans feel he doesn’t deserve to be reelected, while only 40% do, the lowest Udall has ever polled.

Meanwhile, an internal poll done for the U.S. Chamber of Commerce was leaked yesterday and among likely voters Gardner was beating Udall 44-42, while among those who said they were definitely voting Gardner beats Udall by an even larger margin 47-42.  While 51% of Colorado already feel it’s time to give a new person a chance.

What adds even more credence to the Chamber’s poll numbers is the fact that they were internal – meaning the poll wasn’t done to drive a narrative.  The Chamber will be looking to spend money in races, and before they toss good money away, they want to make sure they have the most accurate picture of that race.

Expect Udall to hit the panic button and watch all the Lefties throw whatever they can at Gardner, as Udall’s only hope of survival is to define Gardner before Gardner can get any traction; straight out of the Machiavellian Rules for Radicals.

An extreme voter record followed by an extreme campaign; it goes without saying, Udall is too extreme for Colorado.

 

DIGGING DEEPER: Quinnipiac Poll Forecasts Bad News for Legislative Dems

While Gov. John Hickenlooper might be breathing a sigh of relief after a new Quinnipiac poll shows him leading against GOP rivals, further analysis shows that legislative Democrats might not have much to celebrate.

When asked what they think of how the state legislature is performing, 51 percent of respondents said they disapprove and only a measly 34 percent approve.   This spells bad news for ruling Democrats who hold a razor thin one-seat majority in the state Senate.

Furthermore, it’s not helping the Democrats’ case that 56 percent of voters oppose the stricter gun laws they forced through the legislature last year.  Laws that, it’s worth mentioning, were rubber stamped by Hickenlooper.  The poll also reveals that voters believe arming teachers and using metal detectors at school entrances are more likely to reduce gun violence than stricter gun laws.  So basically, voters aren’t buying Dem claims that stricter gun laws make us safer.

That’s certainly not the news that Senate Majority Leader Morgan Carroll wants to hear.  Worse yet, it’s not the news that Dem donors want to hear either.  We can’t say it enough – donors like to back winners.  If early polling shows inklings of an insurmountable disapproval rating, then Carroll is going to have a heckuva time raising money.

 

 

PeakFeed: The Anti-Udall Ad Lefties Don’t Want You to See

Lefties thought they had the upper-hand today when they were able to steal the narrative about an Americans for Prosperity ad.  Ha! Don’t worry you silly Lefties, Udall is so extreme and far to the left, there’s plenty of people out there with plenty of issues to attack him on.  Oh, look at this, here comes another one already:

 

RED ALERT: Voters Like Red Light Cameras More Than Hick and Udall

It’s pretty well understood that people just don’t like red light cameras.  Well, what if we told you that people like red light cameras better than some Democratic politicians?  It’s true and it comes from the left-leaning Public Policy Polling.  Delicious.

Today, PPP published a poll that showing Hickenlooper unable to break 50% against every Republican candidate, but Tom Tancredo.  Against Tom, he gets just 50%.  The news is worse for U.S. Sen. Mark Udall, who leads U.S. Rep. Cory Gardner by just two points – 47% to 45%, respectively, which is probably within the margin of error.

Nonetheless, you know what’s at a solid 50% approval rating?  Red light cameras.  That’s right folks.  Again, Coloradans like red light cameras better than the Democrats’ top of the ticket.  Here are the results of the poll:

Sorry, we’re still giggling.  Of course, it’s worth noting that the R/D/U for the poll leans a little left at 36% D, 32% R, and 32% U.  As we mentioned before, a more appropriate weighting would look something like this:

Local pollsters have been weighting their polling for this year at 38 or 39% Republican, 34 or 35% Democrat and 27 or 28% Unaffiliated.  Historically speaking, U’s have never come close to 36% and likely won’t in this environment.

The poll, a survey of 618 Coloradans, was conducted April 17-20, 2014. The margin of error, oddly, was not disclosed.  Also odd – top of the Republican ballot gubernatorial candidate Mike Kopp, either wasn’t included in the survey or the results weren’t released.  Care to disclose either of these items, PPP? We know you have problems disclosing information that doesn’t benefit the left.

Nonetheless, maybe this is why Hick isn’t committing to legislation that would forbid red light cameras – the concept is actually more popular than he is.

 

DAILY DOSE OF OUTRAGE: IRS Paid Bonuses to Employees Who Owed Back Taxes

The latest news about the IRS had us spitting up coffee this morning.  The Washington Post is reporting that the government’s most loathed agency paid more than 1,100 employees who owe back taxes more than $1 million in cash bonuses and more than 10,000 in extra paid vacation.  From the Post:

Like many companies and government agencies, the IRS sweetens the deal for its employees by giving bonuses based on performance. But at the IRS, breaking the federal tax laws you were hired to enforce and running afoul of other agency rules aren’t considered relevant to performance-based awards.

Abuse of power and breaking the rules is becoming second nature to the IRS. Just last year, the agency was guilty of discriminating against conservative groups seeking tax-exempt status, including groups that operate in Colorado.

IRS building, photo courtesy of Cliff1066

When the government compels its citizens to fork over a depressing chunk of their hard earned income, how can the agency that collects that money get away with this kind of despicable behavior?  Government should make it their priority to spend every last penny of OUR money as responsibly and efficiently as possible.  And let’s face it, no one in his or her right mind could reasonably argue that government is either of those things.

This is why nothing disgusts us more than #ProudToPay and liberals who try to make people feel good about paying their taxes, or worse yet, try to make people feel like they’re not paying enough.  Yes, we’re looking at you Progress Now.  Next time Democrats feel like forcing another debate about raising taxes, we urge them to look inward and tackle every last abuse before turning to the people with their hand out.

 

 

BULLYING: Only the Left Is Allowed to Have Issues With Obamacare (Apparently)

Carol Perry, target of bullying by the left

Have you run into problems with Obamacare?  Apparently, you’re not allowed if you’re a Republican or have donated to Republican causes.  At least, that’s the message from our counterparts on the left according to its post from yesterday.

Americans for Prosperity sent out a media advisory yesterday for a rally today at 8:30 a.m. at the Capitol featuring AFP president Tim Phillips, Senate Minority Leader Bill Cadman, and Carol Perry, a Coloradan who has been negatively impacted by Obamacare.  The goal of this event is to hold Sen. Mark Udall accountable for his Obamacare vote.  In conjunction with the press conference, AFP will launch a new ad against Udall.  From the other blog’s post:

Perry also appears to be a frequent witness in favor of Republicans on a wide variety of issues. We’ve found records of her testifying against last year’s gun safety bills. In the 2012 elections, Perry was a public face of My Purse Politics (photo above right), a a project of the Conservative Women’s Alliance aimed at turning out the woman conservative vote. But one of the most amusing, and telling, press hits for Carol Perry came last June in testimony on the lack of respect for “political diversity” at the University of Colorado.

Uh-oh, Perry is a (gasp) Republican?  That means that any issue she has with Obamacare is purely politically motivated, right?  That’s sarcasm.

The facts are these: Sen. Udall was a deciding vote (yes, we’re doubling down on that) for Obamacare.  Obamacare has left more than 335,000 people in Colorado without the plans they liked, despite promises from Udall that “if they liked their plan, they could keep it”.  Many in Colorado have lost the doctors they liked and are now forced to pay more for plans they don’t like.

This attempt to discredit Perry is simply a bullying tactic from the left to silence critics who speak out against their signature piece of legislation and it’s shameful.  First Perry is a victim of Udall’s ill-conceived Obamacare and now the left?

 

GOOD GRIEF: Chickenlooper Noncommittal On No Brainer Bill

We’ve made it our business to document Gov. John Chickenlooper’s lack of backbone ad nauseam.  When it comes to controversial issues, he’s a well-known hedger.  Just look at his handling of the gun recalls and weak-kneed endorsement of Amendment 66.

Despite all that, however, we never thought we would actually see the day when Chickenlooper failed to take a position on one of the most populist pieces of legislation ever to be considered by the General Assembly: the banning of red light cameras.

Senate Bill 181 would prohibit local municipalities from using red light and photo radar cameras to issue people tickets.  The bill passed out of the Senate yesterday and now heads to the House for consideration.  It has bipartisan support and should be a no brainer for a Governor who just wants everyone to like him.  Well, here’s the headline we got instead:  

Proposal to ban red-light cameras advances, Hickenlooper noncommittal

Gaaah, come on man!  Red light cameras don’t make the roads any safer and only serve to line the pockets of local government coffers, which explains why the Colorado Municipal League and Colorado Association of Chiefs of Police oppose the bill.  Yes, throwing your support behind this one might upset a few cronies, but who cares?  You don’t have to be a pollster to know that voters hate red light cameras with a burning passion.

 
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