Gallup is out with a state-by-state breakdown of President Obama's approval rating and things are not looking good for his re-election in Colorado. With an approval rating of 44, but a disapproval of 48, Obama's numbers are upside down in the Centennial State.
The polling comes from over 90,000 interviews nationally from January to June. Nationwide, Obama stands at 47% approval, the same as he did in Gallup polling throughout 2010. That is not a positive development for Obama, whose party suffered a devastating loss of 63 seats in Congress, and 6 Senate seats in 2010.
Worse than his national numbers is the low view Colorado voters have of his Presidency. And Colorado voters are quickly becoming an important piece of the 2012 discussion.
In 2012 electoral college calculations, Colorado has become the new Florida or Ohio–a key swing state essential to victory in the Presidential election–making polls like this a major headache for an Obama campaign eager to display confidence in a state they won by 9 points in 2008.
Karl Rove was not merely being hyperbolic when he said "as goes Colorado, so goes the nation." If you can't win a state evenly divided between Republicans, Democrats and independents, you probably can't win a large chunk of the nation.
Gallup's new numbers make clear that Governor Hickenlooper was dead-on when he said Obama would "have a hard time" winning here in 2012. Speaking of Florida and Ohio, Obama is actually doing worse in Colorado than he is doing in those two perennial Presidential swing states. In Ohio, Obama's approval sits at 45% and in the Sunshine state it's at 47%.
We'll know more about how Obama stacks up against potential Republican contenders very soon as Democrat polling firm Public Policy Polling (PPP) was in the field with a new poll in Colorado this weekend.
Check back at the Peak for the latest on Obama's dreary 2012 prospects.