Two new polls on Colorado today have the race within the margin of error, with one showing Romney leading by three and the other with Obama up by two.
A Rasmussen poll, where only the top-line horse race figure has been released so far, has Romney winning Colorado 50%-47%. The survey was conducted entirely on Monday night.
On the flip side is a CNN poll released this afternoon showing Obama taking Colorado 50%-48%, though Obama’s lead drops to one point — 48%-47% — when they include Gary Johnson, who is on the ballot in Colorado. The CNN poll was conducted October 26-31 with a margin of error of +/-3.5%.
Current turnout based on ballots returned by today shows Republicans with a steady three-point lead over Democrats, based on the party registration of those voters.
To quote Dan Rather from 2004: “This race is hotter than a Times Square Rolex.”
UPDATE: The CNN sample appears to be badly out of whack with reality.
CNN Sample: 31R | 33D | 35U
Turnout so far in Colorado: 37.8R | 35D | 26.2U
Hi Kathy,
Wow, how did you get VIP tickets? I am planning on getting to Fiddler's Green at 1:00, so that I can GET IN and get a good seat. Let me know if you DON'T use your tickets and are willing to give them to someone else, like me. 🙂
Nancy
Waited in line for 2 hrs to get into the rally at Red Rocks but no go. Got an email yesterday stating that they would get me and my family into the VIP area tonight if we wanted to go. CO campaign is doing a great job!!
It's sort of ironic I suppose that Obama debated at the University of Denver and Saturday will now be at the Community College of Aurora. Next stop, Bertha Heid Elementary in Thornton 🙂
Someone needs to send a memo to Chuck Plunkett. He had been posting the throngs attending the Obama rallies.
Let's see… thousands showing up at Romney rallies in CO, even before the 1st debate. After debate #1, only 500 show up for Obama rally at Sloan's Lake. 25,000+ tickets given away for Red Rocks rally. Seats 9,450. FULL! Thousands turned away. Reasonable estimates by conservative vendor who attened Obama rally at City Park the following day, 3,000. THOUSANDS showing up for Romney at rallies in OHIO & FLORIDA. Not so much for Obama. These numbers DO NOT LIE! And we're not PAID to attend. We attend and wait hours to get in, because we WANT TO BE THERE AND SHOW OUR SUPPORT!
I agree with Gary. After the performance of Candy Crowley, I wouldn't trust CNN with any poll numbers.
How much were Democrats over sampled and what percentage did they use for Independents and Repbublican? If they assumed, as most Polls do, that 2008 be benchmark ratios to go by, don't pay attention.
Now is not 2008. Today we have 16.5 Trillion of debt, 1.3 Trillion a year deficit, an economy hobbled by Obamacare, Environmental Regulation and 47% that are net tax receivers. We have an energized Repubican ground game and a candidate with a proven track record. Many people have come to realize that we should concentrate on qualifications, not pigmentation. That's my story, and I'm stickin with it. Now where's me scotch? 15 year single malt,… ah, there she is.. here's to ya lads and lasses. May yes live long and prosperous and nothing but friends come through your front door.
The only poll that matters shows Romney is going to win. That is the current vote turn in.