OUR VIEW: As of Friday, Republicans are winning, with a significant turnout edge. The billion dollar question now is will the rest of Republican El Paso County turn out, or will the big dollar Obama-machine succeed in turning out enough liberals in the election’s closing hours to save John Morse’s hide?
Liberal groups from Planned Parenthood and NARAL to the Douglas County union fighting school reform to Howard Dean’s Democracy for America have all set up shop in Morse’s Senate District 11, running field operations and bankrolling TV ads.
Even the Washington, DC-based Democratic Legislative Campaign Committee (DLCC) has been soliciting its email list in Oregon to mine for donations.
Morse’s group has taken so many out-of-state workers in recent weeks that they’ve been requesting housing help since the beginning of the month.
In short, the same liberal political machine that elected Barack Obama is out in force trying to beg, borrow and steal their way to a John Morse victory. These liberal groups have outspent pro-recall groups by nearly 7-1 already.
But here is the interesting part — Republicans have been methodically working hard to turn out their own side, with Lynn Bartels of The Denver Post reporting that in Morse’s district, where Obama won by 21 points, Republicans have out-voted Democrats by 9% as of Friday.
In other words, in spite of being out spent overwhelmingly, conservatives are actually winning in El Paso County at this stage in early voting.
The billion dollar question now is, will the rest of Republican El Paso County turn out, or will the big dollar Obama-machine succeed in turning out enough liberals in the election’s closing hours to save John Morse’s hide?
It’s David vs. Goliath, the Obama-machine vs. a rag tag army of recallers. When polls close tomorrow night, we will know if David wins, or if the liberal money machine succeeds in buying another Colorado election.
UPDATE: Turnout remains strong. Updated figures, as we requested, from the El Paso County Clerk and Recorder’s office.
Most recent #s: 11,041, 37 ACN, Dem 3600, GRN 35, LBR 90, REP 4527, UAF 2752 @COpeakpolitics @ClerkEPC #CORecall
— EPC Clerk & Recorder (@ClerkEPC) September 9, 2013
Percentage-wise, that’s 41% Republican / 32.5% Democrat / 26.5% Unaffiliated/Other.
The district’s voter registration is: 26% Republican / 33.5% Democrat / 40.5% Other
UPDATE 2 (4:30PM): New turnout figures as of 4:30PM this afternoon from the El Paso County Clerk and Recorder:
Total Voters: 12,174
A.C.N.: 37
Dem: 4,023 (33%)
Green: 39
Libertarian: 100
Rep: 4,923 (40%)
UAF: 3,052 (25%)
UPDATE 3 (6:50PM): Via KDVR’s Eli Stokols, Democrats have closed the gap a bit today. Still GOP 40% to Dem 33%.
Updated @SenJohnMorse #recall totals by party: R-5192, D-4314, U-3291; Total: 12,985 votes cast. #COpolitics #COleg
— Eli Stokols (@EliStokols) September 10, 2013
Let's see, the NRA, a grass roots organization of 5 million US Citizens, spent about 400k on this. Bloomberg and a couple of leftist groups who represent no membership at all spent 4 to 6 MILLION dollars. Try and get it right. As for what planet your ilk comes from? Nobody knows but we surely wish you'd crawl back.
Rick Diehl We don't have a problem being taken seriously. OTOH it's increasingly apparent by the way people like you try and dismiss everyone else that you have some serious doubts about your own credibility.
Rick Diehl And nobody else has time for someone who just publicly declared himself to be a racist. "the black guy"? Seriously?
Rick Diehl Ah, look, someone trots out the "nobawdy twied to gwab your guns!" meme. OK, we'll ignore current goings on and proposed legislation in California and on the East Coast. We'll pretend Feinstein, Schumer, Boxer and others never openly discuss confiscation. We'll pretend Cuomo didn't recently say it was "on the table". THEN we can pretend Morse did not openly say to ignore constituents who did not agree with him. Then we'll ignore ignorance like "30 plus drums"…ok…WTF is that, anyway? Seriously, do you people imagine that if you just repeat your BS often enough everyone will believe it?
but that's the only way we can spend….with that coin
What I find sad.. is that every time someone disagrees with Obama they are called racist. I also find it amusing that you pinpoint and target every post in here that might be considered conservative and pull out your little name calling card and take it personal.
So then you're saying that you went to try to vote in an election and they wouldn't let you vote because you weren't qualified to vote in that election? Those bastards!!!
Of course the reality is that nobody tried to grab your guns, you nuts you. They did try to make sure there were tighter background checks and to keep you from buying anymore 30 plus drums. But they didn't go after your guns. Still paranoia isn't any fun if it isn't extreme.
See, that's why you guys don't get taken seriously. Every time someone disagrees with you, it's not that they didn't share your views, it's that they are anti-American and hate the country. It's a sad and shows more your limitations as an Americans then anyone elses. Sad man, really sad.
Puke followers. Well, aren't we one of the grown-ups?
You know Frank, I served way too long in service to my country to really have to much time for a little sparrow fart like yourself to tell me I'm not an American because I voted for the black guy.
The Obama-machine vs a rag-tag army of recallers with several million dollars of money from the NRA helping them along. Kind of forgot that part didn't you? Don't get me wrong, it's El Paso County so the fact that a Democrat won in the first place is pretty amazing, and I have very little doubt that you guys are going to succeed in your recall. But please, don't piss down our necks and tell us it's raining. Rag-tag recallers, I mean please, what planet do you think we're from,?
It's kind of tough for the rest of El Paso County voters to show up and cast a ballot when the voting is only open to those in his district that happens to only be part of School District 2 and most of School District 11. The rest of the people in our county are outside of his district. I went to vote and was turned away because I live in Fountain.
Phil Hubbs Statistically negligible. But we'll allow for it on the high side and give them 5%. So 62% of the vote is guaranteed against this imbecile. Figure 25% of the Dems will go against him, and they'll comprise 30% of the total vote. Morse will be lucky to gain 30% total. So he'll need to vote a lot of the dead to make up for it. Expect 140% voter participation…
"Even the Washington, DC-based Democratic Legislative Campaign Committee (DLCC) has been soliciting its email list in Oregon to mine for donations"
one might wonder why all this out-of-state help and $$$ are coming in on this local election – you'd think the lame stream media might investigate that? – nah! 😉
I dislike Democrats and Republicans equally. Two sides of the same tarnished coin.
Not true, there have been several interviews with Republicans who voted against the recall because they are opposed to recalls in general. I disagree with them, and want to see them recalled, I'm just telling you what's been reported.
Anyone that has not voted yet should get off your lazy ass and vote. Don't let those anti-american groups tell you what you can or cannot do.
4,000 out of a possible 18,000… guess the old rhinos like Morse. Get off your couch, get out and vote!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
So…67.5% of the vote as of now is against these gun-grabbing fringers. Minimum. Because the only ones who will be voting for Morse are Democrats and even there he'll be lucky to get a majority, let alone 100%.
This is about Americans vs Obamatrons. Napoleon Bloomberg be damned!
This is A Wake up call to all American's who are tired of this Garbage That is being bankrolled by the White House and It's Puke Follower's! And on top of it all! You are PAYING FOR IT!
Remember, in both districts, only about 50% of petition signers were GOP. Granted, when you consider they only needed 25% of # of last election voters to force recall and the most upset D / I may have already voted (and signed the petition), I don't believe this is a D v. R horse race. And like many elections in CO, the independents will likely be the deciding factor.
I am amazed at how few Republicans have turned out for this.
Rag Tag Army of Re-callers?