“How many debates did my campaign sign me up for?”
It’s been an odd day so far for polls and prognosticators when it comes to Colorado. A new NBC/Marist poll has Sen. Mark Udall with his biggest lead in the Senate race since Rep. Cory Gardner got in the race. Yet, at the same time, one of the big national prognosticators, Stu Rothenberg, has downgraded Udall in the race from “likely Dem” to “toss-up/tilt Dem.” Rothenberg certainly seems nonplussed with the Marist poll and most other political observers are agreeing with him. Harry Enten, the senior political writer at FiveThirtyEight, tweeted this out:
Thought Udall was slightly ahead… still think Udall is slightly ahead…
— Harry Enten (@ForecasterEnten) July 15, 2014
Enten goes on to point out why this poll feels so out of step (and why Democrats are rallying so hard around it): it doesn’t fit the feeling of the race on the ground.
@aedwardslevy yes, but there isn’t much sign in other polls that the race has moved much… if anything slightly towards Gardner…
— Harry Enten (@ForecasterEnten) July 15, 2014
Question: does an incumbent who is up by seven have one of the most bizarre weeks where he goes out of his way to avoid his own fundraiser that the sitting President of the United States shows up for? Does an incumbent who is up by seven do everything in his power to make the race about wedge issues when the American economy actually contracted the first quarter of an election year?
The Colorado Left (and some national Lefties as well) are pushing this poll hard because it is the first possible good news Udall has had in a long time. But, truth be told, they are really clinging so hard to it because it might be their last chance to change the narrative of the race before Udall is completely swept away.
Much has been made about Marist using all registered voters versus just likely voters (a huge caveat especially in a non-Presidential year), and Marist assuming a 16% Hispanic electorate (even in the 2012 Presidential year, Colorado Hispanics made up only 14% of Colorado’s electorate), but even without those, the basic facts of this race haven’t changed. Udall has a deeply flawed, far left, six-year record in the Senate that has him tripping over himself left and right running from it. His close relationship with President Obama, once an asset when Obama was popular, has become a mill stone around his neck as Obama’s popularity in Colorado continues to plunge. His opponent, Gardner, is well-liked and highly thought of— Rothenberg goes even as far to say Gardner’s “energy and sunny disposition will help make him broadly appealing.”
The time is ticking down on Udall. If he doesn’t put this race away by the time Labor Day rolls around, if he doesn’t put this race away by the first time him and Gardner step on a stage across from each other, he will lose. His record is too far left for a state like Colorado, and he has demonstrated he has an amazing ability to fumble even the simplest of questions. Gardner with his sunny disposition will put him to the sword for it, and all while doing it with a smile.
Mark it down PeakNation™, this outlier poll was just the high water mark of Udall’s reelection campaign, and he still couldn’t break 50%.
Peaking too early? I bet Maggie Fox would know.
And just as frightfully ugly and stupid
Not the libtard women
Here is what Udall did “TO US”. Why would Udall be concerned about healthcare cancellations stemming from Obamacare in Colorado?
– He wasn’t concerned that he didn’t read this enormously important bill.
– He wasn’t concerned that he didn’t know what was in the bill.
– He wasn’t even concerned that 62.5% of Americans opposed it;he just arranged a telephone town hall meeting where he and his staff pre-screened the attendees to insure he would only hear what he wanted to hear. Problem solved!
The next step toward jamming Obamacare down our throats was parroting the talking points. Both Obama and Udall repeated these blatant lies frequently; as did many in their party.
– We can keep our healthcare plan if we like it!
– We can keep our doctor if we like him or her!
– The average family healthcare premium cost will drop by $2,500 per year!
Udall still supports Obamacare while we Coloradan’s and American’s still oppose it….and not a single Republican Party member voted for it. WHY?
– Udall’s allegiance is clearly to Obama and his party instead of to us Coloradan’s and American’s.
– Maybe it’s because Udall & his staff, who joined Harry Reid’s “bitch session” with Obama, were given a 75% taxpayer paid subsidy for their healthcare insurance premium because they couldn’t afford it! (No wonder Udall doesn’t care about how it affects us.)
– But hey, Udall and his staff are “looking out for us now” as we approach the November elections.
He and his staff challenged Colorado’s Division of Insurance numbers that reported 250,000 of us Coloradan’s have received healthcare insurance cancellations due to Obamacare. After that challenge, and upon further review, that number was increased to 335,000 cancellations.
On 2/21/14, the Colorado DOI increased that by another 1,755 cancellations. As of 07/14, cancellations are at 380,000 in Colorado. Thanks Udall!
– Now (3/20/14), the Insurance Industry is warning of a 2 – 3 times rate increase next year. This increase will come along with implementation of the employer mandate that Obama delayed (to protect Democrats facing reelection) with his “pen and phone” until after our midterm elections. Another wave of cancellations, this time from employers, is coming.
So what do we do with Udall come 11/2014? My thoughts revolve around his lack of integrity and lack of honesty, the foundation and basis for trust in all human relationships. Unlike your life or your property, a person’s integrity can not be taken away from you; by anyone. In order to lose it, you must choose to give it away. Udall, like Obama, has consciously sacrificed his integrity and honesty while placing himself and his party’s agenda ahead of Coloradan’s and American’s wishes. Since Udall refused to represent us, “FIRE THE LIAR in 2014” and elect a politician who puts us ahead of themselves & their party.
Furthermore, Obama has threatened We The People and our elected representatives with his pen and his phone and Udall has chosen to do NOTHING except continue his silent acceptance of Obama’s lawlessness. I guess Udall thinks that shields him from his responsibility to us. Who needs or wants an inept liar as one of Colorado’s US Senators? (Unfortunately, we have two of them until 11/4/2014, Udall and Bennet!) Fire Udall on 11/4/2014 and we’ll deal with Bennet next.
We should not tolerate stonewalling or race-baiting or lies from our elected representatives. We deserve way better than that. Fire any and all of them that you feel you can no longer trust!`
I would say that rather than progressive, politics have become more populist and dishonest- unless by progressive you mean "what's in it for ME?" Any means to a desired end.
Udall voted to give American gun rights to the un. un resolution 2117, then has an ad on tv that says government should
not infringe on your rights
, what a liar what a phony.
Cathy Gardino Since it's a pretty safe bet, I'd wager 100 bucks Udall wins. Because this state is not more conservative. It's growing more progressive. Anyone who believes the talk radio alternate universe doesn't think so, of course, but the data is there. Living in a fact-based world is better, friends.
I'll take that wager… How much?…
Republicans have a hard time winning statewide in Colorado these days, simply because they lack the votes. The fundamentals of the race have not shifted. The media loves a racehorse story. But Udall is the slight favorite, he's been the slight favorite, he continues to be the slight favorite. And Gardner is far too conservative for Colorado voters, so his numbers will, like all the GOP candidates before him, fall short on Election Day. I would bet money.
I live in Colorado and YES this guy is way too left. A rubber yes stamp for Obama on every vote. He's the 2nd coming of Harry Reid.
Democrats are trying to portray women as simple, inept, frail, uninformed, victim uteri. Women are smarter than that.