Once again, the Democrats’ total share of returned ballots fell with this morning’s Secretary of State daily report. Their overall share of mail-in and in-person ballots has diminished every single day since the ballot count began last Monday.
Since yesterday, the Democrats’ share of the votes fell another approximate 0.7% statewide. Five days out, the returns are comprised of 36.2% Democrat ballots and 35.2% Republican. As we mentioned yesterday, if this daily trend that has developed over the past two weeks continues, Democrats will wake up on election day trailing Republicans in the share of ballots cast.
On average, Democrats have seen their share of the returned ballots decline by approximately 0.75% per day. Today, Democrats are holding on to a precarious lead, claiming 36.9% of the returned ballots, compared to 35.0% for the Republicans. If this trend continues, Democrats will wake up on election day with a lower share of returned ballots than Republicans.
As of today’s report, 1,406,573 ballots have been turned in. We estimate this to be more than one half of the vote total, as the 2012 election saw 2,569,516 presidential votes cast in Colorado. This morning’s ballot chase break down is below:
Republican ballots returned: 494,757
Democrat ballots returned: 508,938
Unaffiliated ballots returned: 383,275
Other party ballots returned: 19,603
Some key counties are below. Totals may not equal because third party ballots are excluded.