A new poll is making the rounds showing U.S. Rep. Lauren Boebert down by two points to one of her many challengers in a head-to-head poll for the 2024 General Election.
Spoiler Alert: The poll was conducted by Keating Research, whose clients include the Colorado Democrat Party and the Democrat candidate it purports to show with the slight lead — Adam Frisch of Aspen.
The results show Frisch over Boebert, 50% to 48%, which is within the 3.5% margin of error.
The polling firm only released a one-pager on the results, which doesn’t include a party breakdown of the 801 likely voters polled in the 3rd Congressional District.
It notes the district enjoys an eight-point Republican registration advantage over Democrats, and credits Frisch’s lead to an advantage with independent voters — 57% Frisch to 40% Boebert.
Clearly, the 3rd District race will be competitive in the 2024 election, as was demonstrated by the closeness of the previous election determined by 546 votes in a recount.
But interestingly, the same poll shows Trump beating Biden by five points and Biden’s unfavourability at 60%.
Is that because independents have had it with Biden’s reign of insurmountable incompetency?
Boebert had a higher favorability rating than Biden at 42%, while Frisch came in last with 34% favorability.
Trump trumped them all with 45%.
At any rate, both congressional candidates have primary opponents they’ll have to get past before making it to the General Election.
Challenging Boebert in the Republican primary is Jeff Hurd, a popular Grand Junction attorney, and Russ Andrews, a financial advisor from Carbondale.
Also running in the Democrat primary is Grand Junction Mayor Anna Stout and Adam Withrow of Pueblo, a construction worker and former Libertarian.
And speaking of Libertarians, Mark Elworth will be seeking that party’s nomination to run as a third-party candidate, in spite of the agreement forged by state GOP Chairman David Williams that Libertarians would not challenge like-minded Republicans.
Colorado Public Radio reports:
“I’ve been talking to the national [Libertarian] Party because the national party talks to me. I don’t talk to the state party anymore because … they’re like a quasi-pro-Republican party. As far as I can see they’re protecting Republicans,” Elworth said.
Like we said, this race will certainly be competitive. But we’re betting it stays in the GOP camp.
We don’t believe for a minute that 3rd District voters would vote for Trump and a Democrat from Aspen.