DOWNGRADED: Ed Perlmutter’s Race Moves Toward Republicans In Rothenberg Ratings

The Rothenberg Political Report, one of the most respected handicapping outlets in the land, has downgraded Congressman Ed Perlmutter’s chances of victory, moving the race from a “Safe Democrat” seat to “Democrat favored.”

National prognosticators are generally loathe to see a candidate as imperiled when he won his last election by 11 points like Perlmutter did in 2010, otherwise we expect Perlmutter’s status might be closer to Tossup.

Colorado 7 (Perlmutter, D). Move to Democrat Favored. Republicans have been bullish on this race for a while, especially given Joe Coors’s, of the famous beer family, willingness to spend his own cash. Democratic Rep. Ed Perlmutter should be fine, especially with Democratic turnout in the presidential race, but the House Majority PAC seemed worried enough to jump in to blunt the Coors ads. Perlmutter is still favored, but this is no longer a sure-thing for the Democrat.

We think Rothenberg is a little behind the eight ball on this race as “Democrat favored” seats don’t generally see $500,000 ad buys attacking the Republican challenger two months out, as is the case with Nancy Pelosi’s House Majority PAC attacking Joe Coors. Nor do they generally have polls showing the Republican challenger up 9 points, even if that poll was conducted by the Coors campaign.

Despite Colorado Pols’ pathetic spin that Democrats are hoping the Nancy Pelosi Super PAC attack ad would “relegate [this race] to sideshow status” it’s not likely to become easy for Perlmutter at any point. Joe Coors is matching the DCCC and Perlmutter punch for punch on the airwaves, giving no reason to think that this one will be “put away” for the Democrats anytime soon.

As Perlmutter is an incumbent with a proven track record of winning tough races, he is likely to be seen as the favored candidate up until Election Day. That is, until Perlmutter has to pick up the phone to concede the race to his longtime neighbor, Joe.

 

WHAT REGULATION?: Investors Hoping to Resurrect FREX Waiting for PUC

Colorado’s business climate has taken a nosedive over the past decade or so, with Colorado staples like Frontier Airlines, Qwest CenturyLink, and First Data leaving the area for greener pastures.  Big government apologists have tried to explain the disappearing opportunity companies by blaming everything but Colorado’s rising cost of regulation.  Two Colorado Springs entrepreneurs may be learning about this regulation firsthand.

On August 31, the city of Colorado Springs discontinued the Front Range Express (FREX), a bus service operating between Denver and Colorado Springs, to save the $425,000 required from the Colorado Springs budget to keep the service running through the end of 2012.  According to the Colorado Springs Gazette, the dynamic duo, Dan Ajamian and Sean Meenan, have formed “New FREX” and are seeking investors and/or bank loans to cover start-up expenses and to purchase the 57-passenger buses needed to launch the venture.  The two believe they can improve upon the old FREX business model:

“Ajamian believes New FREX can operate the service profitably if it reduces the  number of daily round trips from the 16 throughout the day that the city’s  Transit Division had been operating to four trips during peak commuting periods,  while increasing fares between $1 and $2.50 per trip. He and Meenan hope to hire  back many of the drivers who operated the city-owned FREX service, make the same  stops in Colorado Springs, Monument and the Denver area and offer high-speed  Internet access to passengers.”

While the two believe they can run the venture more profitably than the government, now they must apply for a permit and wait for the Public Utilities Commission (PUC) to approve the proposed route.  The process could take up to seven months. If it’s not one government inefficiency, it’s another.   While the PUC has stated the two could request an emergency permit if it could show “an immediate and urgent need”, the 200 passengers who relied on FREX for their daily commute remain in limbo.  And, that’s to say nothing of the effect that a possible seven-month wait time could have on would-be investors in the project.  And, what about the drivers who may have been laid off?

To recap, we have an inefficient government service that has been discontinued, a company willing to step in and improve the process, but the government that couldn’t get it right the first time is now mucking up the process the second time?  No wonder our business climate is in Colorado.

 

TRAILBLAZING: Colorado Republican Candidates Advance in Benchmark Program

As the campaign season marches on toward November 6th, the Colorado Republican Party’s “Trailblazer” program has named many candidates to its program, with six candidates having completed the program and earning “Trailblazer” status.

According to the Colorado GOP web site:

“The Trailblazer program was founded with the intent of assisting Republican candidates for the Colorado State Legislature in achieving fundamental campaign goals and benchmarks, navigating Colorado’s unique political landscape, and carving out viable paths to victory in November.”

The program has three tiers of achievement for candidates – On the Radar, Contender, and Trailblazer.  Seven candidates have made it to the final tier of the program to earn the Trailblazer moniker:

  • Amy Attwood, House District 28
  • J. Paul Brown, House District 59
  • Rick Enstrom, House District 23
  • Jennifer George, House District 18
  • Dave Kerber, Senate District 26
  • Ken Summers, Senate District 22
  • Brian Watson, House District 03

The following candidates have earned Contender status through the program:

  • Robert Ramirez, House District 29
  • Lang Sias, Senate District 19

Finally, these five candidates have earned On the Radar status:

  • Cindy Acree, House District 40
  • Larry Crowder, Senate District 35
  • Ellyn Hilliard, House District 11
  • Brian Vande Krol, House District 35
  • David Pigott, House District 33

Recently, Colorado GOP Chairman Ryan Call expressed his satisfaction with the program and how hard the candidates have worked.

“With just under 60 days to go until the election, we’re thrilled to see our Trailblazers Program continue to grow,” said Colorado Republican Committee Chairman Ryan Call.   “The strides these candidates have made in their communities and within their districts is inspiring.  Our Trailblazer candidates have shown they are committed to helping Colorado’s families and business owners emerge from this tough economy stronger and better than ever.

It would seem that these candidates are causing their Democratic opponents some concern.  Republicans lead in the House by a slim one-seat majority, but this bumper crop of candidates could expand the majority.  Similarly, Democrats are up in the Senate by six, but experts believe that the redrawn maps may give Republicans the advantage in two years, if not this year.

 

 

Dave Misner, Partner of Sen. Pat Steadman, Has Died

Photo courtesy of Facebook

Sadly, Sen. Pat Steadman’s partner of 11 years, Dave Misner, lost his battle with pancreatic cancer today.  Sen. Steadman posted on his Facebook page a touching note about his death:

“It is my sad duty to report that Dave Misner died this morning peacefully at home.  His disease and suffering have ended.  He fought the cancer as much as he could, but it wasn’t really a fair fight.  Pancreatic cancer is a horrible monster, and Dave showed up armed with only his gentle spirit and beautiful smile, and some doctors and a lot of nurses.  He was sorely outmatched.  We mourn this loss but remember a loving father and caring man.  He was loved by many, many people and he will be greatly missed.”

The announcement was followed by hundreds of comments from well-wishers expressing their sorrow and sharing words of encouragement for Sen. Steadman.  According to the Denver Post, Misner was diagnosed with the particularly deadly form of cancer in late June.  At the time, the cancer was too advanced for surgery.  The couple held out hope that Misner’s disease would fare well since he was just 48 and in (otherwise) good health.

Pancreatic cancer has recently taken a number of well-liked Coloradans, including former state Sen. Paul Sandoval earlier this year.  To Sen. Steadman’s point, according to the National Institute of Health, the cancer is one of the deadliest forms of cancer, with the average survival of less than a year for those whose cancer has spread beyond the pancreas.  A monster indeed.

Our thoughts and prayers go out to Sen. Steadman and his family and friends for their loss.

 

 

WAS MAX TYLER HIGH? Lakewood Democrat Votes Against Making Driving While High Illegal

Today was a tough day for Democratic state Rep. Max “Children Are Like Maggots“ Tyler. We all remember how he degraded school kids who have trouble learning, so his newest debacle isn’t going to come as a surprise to Capitol observers, but Tyler has presented voters with two more reasons to wonder why Max Tyler holds elected office…anywhere.

Normally this time of year at the state legislature is the ho-hum of recommending bi-partisan bills and going home to walk precincts, but Max decided to make it interesting…and for that, we thank him.

Tyler opened his morning at the Legislature’s interim Transportation Committee by killing a jobs bill that would have directed new state revenues to road projects without raising taxes or fees. With every middle class family focused on jobs and good paying jobs, Max decided to give middle class families the proverbial bird and cast his vote to kill a bill that would have helped put construction workers and road crews back to work.

To make it even more fun, our good buddy Max Tyler came back this afternoon and voted against a bill that would have made it illegal to put lives at risk by driving a car while high. Now, follow this. Tyler voted for a bill in 2011 that would have made driving while high illegal.

During the 2012 Hickenlooper special session, Tyler was one of a very small number of Reps who voted against making DUI pot illegal. Today, when given the chance to correct his Max-flop, he decided to double down to support DUI.

Yes. You read that right. Max Tyler voted against making driving while high out of your mind illegal.

continue…

 

DENVER POST POLL: Obama & Romney Tied In Colorado

The Denver Post released a Colorado poll confirming what everyone other than Democrat polling firms already knew — the race for President in Colorado is tied.

Reports John Ingold and Kurtis Lee:

After months of campaigning, multiple visits and millions spent on advertising, Barack Obama and Mitt Romney are dead even in Colorado, according to a new Denver Post poll.

The poll results — first announced Friday on the noon broadcast of DPTV— show Obama ahead of Romney by a single, statistically insignificant percentage point, 47 to 46 percent. When former New Mexico Gov. Gary Johnson, who is running as the Libertarian nominee for president, is factored in, Obama’s single-percentage-point lead remains, 45 percent to 44 percent. Johnson registers at 3 percent of the vote.

We have only one slight problem with the poll — as Alan Philp noted on Twitter, the poll’s sample assumes a higher turnout of Democrats than Republicans.

The sample is 34% D / 34% R / 30% Unaffiliated. As there were almost 100,000 more registered active Republican voters than Democrats as of September 1, an equal turnout from Democrats would assume they are actually turning out at higher rates than Republicans.

We don’t see that happening. Just look at Obama’s recent visit to CSU: In 2008, he attracted a crowd of 45,000. This year: 13,000. Does that seem like it portends a 2008-like turnout among Democrats?

If the poll were to have a more realistic likely voter sample, Romney would actually be in the lead, which we know would probably break Denver Post Publisher and Obama fan boy Dean Singleton’s heart.

 

RACE-BAITING BROMIDES: Miklosi Ally Says Calling Conservatives Racists More Effective Than Discussing Policy

Credit: Facebook

A political ally of Congressional candidate Joe Miklosi told a group of liberal supporters last week that it’s easier and more effective to call conservatives racists than actually debate their policies, The Daily Caller reports.

We’re sure Terrance Carroll would agree.

Per The Daily Caller‘s Alex Pappas:

A top official at a liberal super PAC with the goal of eradicating tea partiers from Congress is telling activists that it’s more effective to label Republicans as racists than criticize their policies.

According to an audio recording obtained by The Daily Caller, Matthew “Mudcat” Arnold, the national campaign manager of the liberal CREDO super PAC, told a gathering of supporters in Aurora, Colo., on Sept. 8 that they’ve realized “policy did not move voters.”

…Arnold made the comments while discussing the organization’s campaign against Colorado Republican Rep. Mike Coffman. The event at BJ’s Restaurant and Brewhouse was billed as a gathering for “CREDO members and local activists to discuss our campaign to defeat Mike Coffman.

We haven’t seen this reported in any Colorado press yet, but it seems too big for them to ignore forever.

Does Miklosi stand by the race-baiting bromides of CREDO PAC?

This isn’t the first time one of Miklosi’s allies have crossed the line to attack Coffman. In July, Politico reported that “Colorado Fair Share” — a left wing group associated with the Occupy movement — had been stalking Congressman Coffman’s home.

At what point will the Denver Post editorial board and other outlets who love to call out the right for their tactics, stand up and denounce this type of politics?

 

GOLDEN OBAMAMNESIA: President Forgets He Enacted Largest Tax Increase on Middle Class

Yesterday, President Obama visited Golden, Colorado to make his pitch to Jeffco residents.  Beyond the faux pas of saying that he was the first president to visit the county since President Ulysses S. Grant (that’s false, it was President George W. Bush), he also seems to have been confused about his role in foisting the largest tax hike in the history of the United States on the middle class.  From his speech:  “I’ve cut taxes for those who need it – middle class families, small business owners.  That’s who needs it.”

Did he just say that he cut taxes for the middle class?  And, more shockingly, for small business owners?  According to Forbes, “the coverage mandate is essentially a 40 percent tax on that family, which is now required by law to ensure that every family member has qualifying coverage.” In a post earlier this summer, we reviewed all of the various tax hikes this bloated piece of legislation would burden families with.  As a refresher, we’ve included the chart featuring the tax hikes stemming from Obamacare.

 

 

 

IRANIAN HOSTAGE REDUX? American Embassies Under Assault, But America Not Targeted Says White House

(Credit: White House Flickr)

American embassies from Tunis to San’aa are under assault today from angry mobs of Islamists allegedly protesting a poorly made YouTube film that offends the Prophet Mohammed.

Reports from a variety of outlets, including a potential bombshell by the UK’s Independent, make clear these are targeted assaults organized by anti-American groups, not simply a grassroots reaction to an offensively (bad) movie.

But the Obama administration continues to cling to the notion that all of these assaults on American embassies are not actually directed at America. So says White House Press Secretary Jay Carney:

CARNEY: We also need to understand that this is a fairly volatile situation and it is in response not to United States policy, and not to, obviously, the administration, or the American people, but it is in response to a video, a film that we have judged to be be reprehensible and disgusting. That in no way justifies any violent reaction to it, but this is not a case of protests directed at the United States writ large or at U.S. policy, this is in response to a video that is offensive to Muslims.

With reports of 400 attackers with RPGs and AK-47s storming the American consulate in Benghazi, Libya, killing the ambassador, attacking the State Department’s safe house and making off with sensitive documents, it strains credulity to call it a response to an internet video.

The Obama administration is increasingly coming off as Carter-esque in their handling of this situation. If the Independent’s report holds up that they had warning 48 hours prior to the attacks and did nothing, we honestly don’t see how Obama can hope to win re-election.

How were American embassies and consulates not on high alert on the anniversary of 9/11?

 

EMPTY CHAIR: Where Was Obama When Middle East Warnings Were Issued?

The Independent last night revealed that the U.S. government had been warned about the possibility of violence against U.S embassies in the Middle East a full 48 hours prior to the attacks in Libya (that resulted in the death of U.S. Ambassador to Libya Chris Stevens), but did not act.  Where could Obama have been instead of receiving (and acting on) intelligence briefings?

According to the White House schedule, both Obama and Vice President Biden’s schedules said “no public schedule”.

As it turns out, he was campaigning in top battleground state, Florida.  We checked the media from the days leading up to the attacks on the U.S. embassy in Libya, and according to the Boston Globe, “President Obama spent his weekend touring Florida by bus, hammering Republican nominee Mitt Romney….” Local Florida blog, Alligator.org, adds a little geographic flavor: “The bus tour started in Seminole and Kissimmee on Saturday and continued to Melbourne and West Palm Beach on Sunday.”

An Associated Press caption suggested that Obama made phone calls during his stop at an Obama for America Field Office in Port St. Lucie, Fla.  Then, he got a bear hug from Scott Van Duzer, owner of  Big Apple Pizza & Pasta Italian Restaurant chain.  His final stop was at a rally at the West Palm Beach Convention Center.

Unfortunately, this isn’t the first time that the President has “checked out” on foreign policy issues.  According to Dallas Blog, “Obama was absent at the APEC Summit 2012 in Vladivostok, Russia last week as tensions over territorial disputes in Asia have heightened to dangerous levels.”  Then, there was the Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu snub.

Washington Post columnist Marc Theissen raises an alarming point: “It turns out that more than half the time, the commander in chief does not attend his daily intelligence meeting.” And, in fact, several outlets have reported that Obama attended more fundraising events than intelligence briefings since launching his re-election campaign.

Maybe Clint Eastwood’s “empty chair” performance was not as far fetched as critics originally thought.  Further, this situation calls to mind the commercial from the Democratic primary in 2008 in which now-Secretary of State Hillary Clinton suggests she’d be the best person to answer that 3 a.m. phone call to the White House.  At this point, we’d be okay with just about anyone answering that call – as the 3 a.m. phone call has  been ringing for days.

Worse, according to today’s White House schedule, Michelle Malkin points out that it doesn’t appear as though anyone is taking this threat seriously.  Is anybody home in the West Wing?

 
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