REALITY CHECK: Newell Views Self Through Rose-Colored Glasses

UPDATE: Newell’s colleague, Sen. Brophy, weighed in on her ranking, saying, “Senator Newell has such a sweet demeanor, I was surprised to see how unbelievably partisan her voting record is.  She’s clearly too extreme for that swing district.”

Anyone who has gone to one of Democratic State Senator Linda Newell’s town halls knows that she loves to pontificate about how bipartisan she is.  In fact, her alleged bi-partisanship is a key character in a campaign ad that makes The Innocence of Muslims look like a major studio production.  The only problem?  Her rhetoric is simply not true, and likely spouted because she’s one of the most partisan Democrats in the state legislature running in a district that leans Republican in performance, and is fairly evenly divided among the three parties – Republican: 31.8%, Democrats: 33.7%, and Unaffiliateds: 33.6%.

The truth is that Sen. Linda Newell is the most partisan Senator running for re-election in this cycle. No really.  An analysis of partisan voting patters in the Colorado State Senate on 3rd Reading (or Final) Votes in the 2012 Session found Newell to be tied for third as most partisan Democrat Senators, having voted with her Democrats 99.2% of the time. In fact, there was only one time (out of 353 final votes) that she didn’t vote with her party, and that was on an appropriations bill that would have passed with or without her.

The other “hyper-partisan” Democrats listed in this analysis include Senators John Morse and Lois Tochtrop (tied for first place with 99.7% party loyalty), and then the three tied for third with Newell, including Senators Betty Boyd, Bob Bacon, and Brandon Shafted Shaffer (each with 99.2% party loyalty).

Even more surprising (given her insistence that she’s a bipartisan legislator) is that Newell voted with the Democratic Party more consistently than renowned Boulder liberal Rollie Heath, or even Morgan Carroll, the Senate Democrat Caucus Chair.  Newell’s lone “no” vote stands in stark contrast to a typical Republican voting ”no” 66 times, and even the least partisan Republican voted “no” 23 times.

Not only was Newell perfectly willing to carry the water for the Democratic party, but her votes were relied upon by party leadership to kill Republican Senate bills.  Twenty-six Senate Republican bills were killed on straight party line votes, and six of those (or nearly 25%) were killed with Newell’s aid.

Linda Newell is purposely skewing her record so she seems more moderate, but the truth is that Newell is one of the most partisan legislators in the Colorado State Legislature.  Senator Newell, let’s be honest, you’re simply a party loyalist who has found herself in a bind for this election.

 

PUSH BACK ADS: Coors and Coffman Campaigns Hit Back at Attacks in New TV Spots

The Coors and Coffman Congressional campaigns are out with a new round of ads hitting back at their opponents for misleading and false attack ads. The two ads take different tacks in pushing back, but both play up their strengths.

Coors uses his like-ability to directly counter attacks from Nancy Pelosi’s Super PAC, government worker union AFSCME and even Congressman Edwin Perlmutter himself. (Though it does seem that Perlmutter has become a bit player in his own campaign, with the majority of money and ads hitting Coors coming from out-of-state groups)

Coffman, on the other hand, uses the incompetence of the Miklosi campaign to rehash the brutal truth tests 9News and CBS4 have done on “Not Your Average Joe’s” ads.

Check out the Coors ad here:

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BRUTAL: HD28 Candidate Brittany Pettersen’s Skeletons Exposed By The Colorado Observer

Community organizer and HD28 Democratic candidate Brittany Pettersen is in for a rough day. This morning The Colorado Observer published a brutal piece deconstructing the neatly packaged image Pettersen has been pushing to voters — one that seemingly has little or no correlation with reality.

First, The Observer‘s Leslie Jorgensen and Brian Anderson reveal that a sue-happy Pettersen won’t pay her bills, forcing a court to hold a $20,000 lawsuit settlement in escrow.

In September 2007, Pettersen was being treated by J.A.M. Chiropractic Care, also known as Ascent Health Center, and she hired Denver attorney Clifford Beem to negotiate a personal injury settlement.

Now, Pettersen has filed several lawsuits.  Pettersen has refused to honor her agreement to pay 35 percent of the $20,000 settlement to Beem, and pay $9.223.60 to J.A.M. for treatments.

Because of the dispute, the settlement has been held in escrow since it was awarded in March 2010.

Pettersen claims that Beem’s cut is “unconscionable” and J.A.M. failed to inform her of medical care charges.  Beem and J.A.M.  filed individual countersuits in February this year, and both contend that Pettersen understood and was fully apprised of the charges.  The professionals also disputed Pettersen’s claim that they conspired to deceive her.

This year Pettersen also filed lawsuits against three individuals involved in a multi-car crash in February 2009, two cases have been dismissed for lack of merit, and against the driver of a car involved in a September 2010 accident. The latter case will be heard in July 2013 according to documents and the law office of Christopher M. Robbins.

So, let’s see: Pettersen wins a settlement, but won’t pay her lawyer who won the settlement nor the chiropractor who healed her. Then she files another round of lawsuits in another accident and two of those suits have already been dismissed for lack of merit. Do we smell a trend here?

That’s not even the most brutal aspect of the article. This is:

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BIG SPENDERS: Which Party Is the Party of the Rich Again?

Despite the left’s insistance that the Republican Party is the party of the rich, a newly released tool by I-News Network (a theoretically nonpartisan organization) shows that’s simply not accurate in Colorado.  In fact, Republican donors did not even break the top five donors according to this list of top donors who have given from 2007 through 2012.  As liberal CU professor Sandra Fish noted in her Daily Camera article:

“Corporations and billionaires — and their extravagant contributions to the presidential campaigns — have drawn the most national attention this year in terms of campaign financing. But in Colorado it is the same handful of wealthy Democrats and the labor unions continuing to play a steady hand.”

In case you were wondering who the top donors in Colorado might be, here are the top five, and few are surprising:

  1. Rep. Jared Polis has given an unbelievable $8,420,886 in 644 donations (533 candidates and 111 committees).
  2. Tim Gill has given $3,683,894 in 358 donations (256 candidates and 102 committees).
  3. Pat Stryker has given $3,016,722 in 266 donations (196 candidates and 70 committees).
  4. Rep. Ed Perlmutter has given $1,065,772 in 202 donations (104 candidates and 98 committees).
  5. Rep. Diana DeGette (dean of our delegation, in case you’ve forgotten) has given $967,062 in 152 donations (71 candidates and 81 committees).

We would have liked to create a chart for this, but it’s fairly pointless since there is not one single Republican donor in the top five.  Here is what the top five donors have spent in Colorado (keep in mind, this all goes to the left): $17,154,336.

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FACTS DON’T FAVOR THE DEMS

(Peak Note: We’re late to posting this. Written on Friday. Sorry, Dave!)

Fact #1: Colorado’s Republicans will have a decent advantage in voting strength this year – unlike in 2008. That’s unless the Democrats register about 7,000 new Democrats a day until registrations close on October 9. (Republicans are up 64,000 in active voters as of October 1.)

Fact #2: Gallup gives Colorado Republicans a slight advantage in party adherence over the Democrats. Gallup includes Independents who lean to one party or the other, and, with them, Republicans are up 0.5%. By contrast, Gallup gave Democrats  a 10.6% advantage in ’08.

Fact #3: Colorado’s Independents are much closer to an even split in “lean” toward the parties than they were in 2008. Of registered “active” status Independents who lean to a party, Republicans earn 44% of the leaners (based on September 2012 data). This close “lean” may be reflected by the recent Denver Post poll that gave Romney a 2% advantage among Independents. In 2008, Republicans got only about 13% of Independent leaners. The October ’08 Denver Post poll gave Obama a 25% advantage among Independents. This shift in Independent thinking since 2008 explains why Obama isn’t ahead by a landslide in our state.

Fact #4: Colorado’s voters have nearly abandoned Election Day voting. Seventy percent of Coloradans will vote a mail-in ballot. In 2008, it was about 38%. Only 20% of Jeffco’s voters will go to the polls on Election Day. Just 10 counties are below 50% mail-in. In 2008, 38% voted mail-in. This shift diminishes the alleged Democratic ground game superiority, since most voters can’t be harassed on Election Day. It’s time for the legislature to save millions and shift us to Oregon’s 100% mail-in system. (And create nation-leading safeguards for this 21st Century style of voting.)

 

WEAK @SS SPIN: Hickenlooper and Bennet Mocked For Obama Debate Talking Points

Credit: USHistory.org

10/10 UPDATE: Revealing Politics brings us video of Senator Bennet’s “crack political analysis”:

UPDATE: Politico’s Alex Burns asks if Hick’s post-debate spin was the worst…ever?

Readers seeking more information on Lincoln’s reputation as a debater might consider reading any American history book ever written, or at least seeing the forthcoming Spielberg film.

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President Obama’s local Colorado surrogates have become punch lines in national media in their attempt to spin away Obama’s spanking in last week’s debate.

Today, Governor Hickenlooper made news when he tried to claim that Abraham Lincoln — he of the famous Lincoln-Douglas debates — “wasn’t a great debater.”

That earned him derision from a number of respected national reporters, including former Colorado great Adam Schrager and Politico’s Alexander Burns:

Hickenlooper wasn’t the only one with weak @ss spin. Immediately after the debate the Obama campaign sent U.S. Senator Michael Bennet on MSNBC to do a little clean up and even Chris Matthews found Bennet’s talking points pathetic. You know you’re in trouble when the man with the tingle running up his leg won’t buy your left-wing BS.

All throughout the segment Bennet keeps trying to push the narrative that Obama was the more substantive debater with big ideas, comments that produce proverbial eye-rolling from Matthews and Bennet’s fellow panelists.

After Bennet tried to claimed that Obama “is not the flashiest politician in the world” the panel of Chris Matthews, Michael Steele and Howard Fineman all laughed in Bennet’s face at the sheer stupidity of that statement.

Check out the full video after the jump. Needless to say, Colorado Pols’ post today about Obama’s surrogates being great looks about as stupid as their claim that Obama “won” the debate last week.

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CORRUPT ED PERLMUTTER, TAKE 2: Coors Campaign Hits Perlmutter On Working The System…Again

The Joe Coors for Congress campaign is out with their second ad slamming incumbent Democrat Congressman Ed Perlmutter for corruption, this time hitting him for inserting last-minute language into a bill that would benefit himself and his political donors financially.

It started running Saturday morning with a 1000 points behind it — meaning the average viewer will see it 10 times in a week.

Check it out here:

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OBSTRUCTIONIST-IN-CHIEF: CO’s Barack-less Boom in Oil and Gas

In last week’s debate, Republican Presidential candidate Mitt Romney suggested that America would see approximately four million new jobs in the oil and gas sector.  With Colorado being a major hub of oil and gas activity, we wondered how many of those new jobs might be coming our way.

According to a study by Edward Morse, a Citi industry analyst, there exists great potential for the U.S. to be energy independent.  According to his presentation, “Energy 2020: North America, the New Middle East”, “North America has become the fastest growing oil and gas region in the world, and is likely to remain so for the rest of the decade and into the 2020s, with the main obstacles as political rather than geological or technological.”

His analysis also outlines the economic boost that a positive regulatory environment would offer the United States:

  • An additional two to three percent of real GDP
  • The addition of 2.7 to 3.6 million net new jobs
  • Narrowing of the deficit by 2.4% of GDP
  • U.S. dollar appreciation in real terms of 1.6 to 5.4%

 

Graph from Western Energy Alliance’s “Blueprint for Western Energy Prosperity”

The Western Energy Alliance also published a study called the “Blueprint for Western Energy Prosperity” that outlines the impact that a positive regulatory environment would have on the Colorado economy, which has suffered disproportionately under the Obama regime. One of the most significant western oil discoveries has been the Niobara discovery, which sits under Colorado and Wyoming.  It has been estimated that this discovery could produce 286,000 barrels of oil and condensate by 2020. By 2020, Western Energy Alliance predicts: ”Robust job growth is expected in Colorado and Utah as well, where the energy sectors are projected to grow by 26,000 (16%) and 5,700 jobs (7%) respectively.”

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PREDICTING THE WIN: Peak Nation Prescient In Romney Debate Victory

Prior to the Denver debate between Governor Romney and President Obama last week we asked Peak Nation on Facebook who they thought would win the night…and our readers proved prescient in their overwhelming expectation of a Romney victory.

On Monday, October 1 we asked our readers who they thought would win the first presidential debate. The verdict? Readers thought Romney would come out victorious 82% (159 votes) –  18% (35 votes).

We then asked our readers on Wednesday night after the debate who they thought won the debate. The result wasn’t even close, with 97% (384 votes) thinking Romney took the night to only 3% (12 votes) giving it to Obama.

While these polls are in no way scientific (we can’t even get proper crosstabs from Facebook) they do further prove what we’ve known all along — Peak Nation knows what they’re talking about.

 

BOUNCE OR VAULT? Romney’s Debate Smackdown Showing Up In Polls

Governor Romney’s spanking of Barack Obama in Denver last week is beginning to show up in the polls in a significant manner.

First, let’s look at how real the polling shift is. Per Gallup:

PRINCETON, NJ — Registered voters’ preferences for president are evenly split in the first three days of Gallup tracking since last Wednesday’s presidential debate. In the three days prior to the debate, Barack Obama had a five-percentage-point edge among registered voters.

That five-point bounce in Gallup is even larger than the post-convention bounce Obama briefly enjoyed in the aftermath of the Democrats’ North Carolina shindig. More importantly, Romney’s bounce is coming after a head-to-head matchup with Obama in front of a far larger audience. Gallup warns the bounce’s positive trajectory for Romney may continue to grow in the coming days.

We wouldn’t be surprised to see that happen considering what Gallup also reported today:

An Oct. 4-5 Gallup poll finds roughly two in three Americans reporting that they watched the Oct. 3 debate, similar to what Gallup measured for each of the three 2008 presidential debates. Those who viewed the debate overwhelmingly believe Romney did a better job than Obama, 72% to 20%. Republicans were nearly unanimous in judging Romney the winner. But even Democrats rated Romney as doing a better job than Obama, 49% to 39%.

That’s an even bigger win than the snap CNN poll of registered voters that found Romney the winner by a 67-25 margin — also the largest victory in that poll’s history.

Romney’s bounce is also seen in Colorado, where two Gravis Marketing polls found Romney going from a 5 point deficit with Obama before the Denver drubbing to a 3.5 point lead over the President after the debate.

The question then becomes, as Politico’s Maggie Haberman wrote in a must-read piece this morning: Is the polling shift a bounce, which by definition is ephemeral, or a vault?

 
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